Friday, September 14, 2007

Low’ in Bay may herald fresh monsoon surge


The southwest monsoon is set to sign off in style with a renewed buzz in the Bay of Bengal expected to produce a couple of low-pressure areas in quick succession over the next fortnight.
The two systems promise to bring the monsoon thundering back for one last time to north-peninsular India, the west coast, parts of central India, and extreme south peninsula. But northwest India is likely to remain beyond the reach of the fresh surge and stay dry.
The European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts sees winds associated with the second ‘low’ howling to near-cyclonic strength astride the Andhra-Orissa coast around September 23.

Model prediction also suggests that scattered to fairly widespread rainfall activity over south peninsular India would continue for another four days since a causative cyclonic circulation continues to persist over the Lakshadweep region.
The current scenario suggests that the subdued rainfall activity will sustain over northwest and central India for the same period. But rain or thundershowers are likely in West Bengal, Sikkim, north Orissa, Bihar, Jharkhand, east Uttar Pradesh, Konkan, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Marathawada.